UFO Buster Radio News – 375: Scott C. Waring Day and Bayesian Analysis

Manny/ May 26, 2020/ From Manny

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UFO sighting: ‘Alien craft’ over California sparks claim of secret army testing at Area 51
Link: https://www.express.co.uk/news/weird/1287102/UFO-sighting-alien-spacecraft-California-Area-51-UFO-army-testing-Scott-Waring

A UFO photographed over Southern California may have come from the top-secret Area 51 airforce base, a prominent UFO hunter has claimed.

The unidentified flying object (UFO) was photographed over Palm Springs, California, prompting claims of an alien craft in the skies. According to self-described UFO expert Scott C Waring, the UFO may have come from the highly classified US Air Force base known as Area 51. Area 51 has been at the heart of many UFO stories and alien conspiracy theories, including the 1947 Roswell incident.

Mr Waring said on his blog ET Data Base: “This UFO was seen over Palm Springs, California this week.

“The object was only seen for a few seconds.

“It’s located on far southern California so it’s mostly rocky desert.

“This is one of the prime areas that UFOs will be seen from Area S4, which is inside Area 51.”

The UFO photo was originally shared to MUFON or the Mutual UFO Network by an eyewitness on May 24.

The photo appears to show a blurry, grey object flying far behind a power transformer seen in the foreground.

According to the original eyewitness statement, the UFO appeared and disappeared “in a blink of the eye”.

The eyewitness said the object was tic tac-shaped with appendages.

The UFO also disappeared as soon as its photo was taken.

California is home to more military installations than any other state, with a total of 32. Army, Navy, Air Force, Marine Corps, Coast Guard, and National Guard/Reserve bases are located across California.

The Army and the Air Force make up more than 75 percent of the manpower in Alaska at the Fort Wainwright, Fort Greely, and Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson. Most of the training operations prepare service members for operating in inhospitable winter climates whether on the ground or in the air.

Ohio’s Wright Patterson Air Force Base is one of the Air Force’s largest and most important installations. It is home to the world’s first operational airfield.

UFO sighting: Alien spaceship spotted in NASA Apollo 9 mission – claim
Link: https://www.express.co.uk/news/weird/1286594/ufo-sighting-alien-spaceship-nasa-apollo-9-ufos-aliens-news

ALIEN enthusiasts believe they have spotted a UFO in the clouds in images from NASA’s historic Apollo 9 mission.

Apollo 9 saw three NASA astronauts blasted into the Earth’s orbit for 10 days as a test flight before the Apollo 11 mission, which saw the first people land on the Moon. Commander James McDivitt, Command Module Pilot David Scott, and Lunar Module Pilot Rusty Schweickart lifted off from Earth on March 3, 1969, before spending 10 days in orbit, completing 151 trips around Earth.

The three men landed back on Earth on March 13, just four months before the Apollo 11 mission set off for the Moon.

Prominent conspiracy theorist Scott C Waring has been analysing the images from the NASA astronauts and believes he has found a UFO which is “100 percent” proof of aliens.

Mr Waring wrote on his blog ET Database: “I found a triangle UFO in an old Apollo 9 mission photo. The module was flying directly over Arizona at the time and this triangle UFO was seen in the clouds below.

“The triangle looks dark brown. The object is blurry at an equal pace as that of the clouds and other objects [sic ]in the picture. “Had this been 100 percent focused and the clouds blurry, then we would know its not real, but thats not how it is here.

“The UFO and the other things in the photo have the same focus which tells us its 100 percent real.”

This Math Formula Has Determined the Odds of Aliens Existing
Link: https://www.popularmechanics.com/science/a32603529/math-formula-aliens-exist/

David Kipping leads, yes, the Cool Worlds Laboratory at Columbia University. In an explainer video (below), he describes some background for the question of intelligent life in the universe and concludes, “I’ve never been much for faith—I want an answer.”

Kipping mentions the changing trends over centuries of human imagination: Basically, as soon as people realized what they saw in the sky included other planets, they began to wonder if other planets had intelligent life. An underdeveloped instrument caused astronomers to see “manmade” canals on the surface of Mars during the 1800s.

Turn to Bayesian (bei·Zhn) analysis, a way of using what we do know to extrapolate what we don’t. And to do that, Kipping put Earth’s long history on a replay loop.

The squeeze here is whether or not that life would eventually evolve intelligence. Instead of 3:1, the odds are just 3:2, meaning three of every five reruns with life would become intelligent life. So overall, that means a 75 percent probability of life and 60 percent likelihood of intelligence, for an overall probability of 45 percent.

If the Bayesian analysis is right, that means even for Earth to be itself was the probabilistic minority. But it’s still a more concrete argument for the existence of life on Earthlike planets around the universe.

“Overall, our work supports an optimistic outlook for future searches for biosignatures,” the paper explains.

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